lunenburgbudgetproject.org — written by the Lunenburg Budget Project, an independent tool for residents. Not affiliated with the Town of Lunenburg, the School Committee or the school district. The data this page is computed from: /data/topics/grade-8-loss-trend.json
The latest grade 8 rate, 27.7%, is the second-highest of 17 years, inside a range the town has always been in.
Eighth-grade leaving rate by year
Grade 8, share not back the next autumn
SY2010
20%
SY2011
20.7%
SY2012
19.4%
SY2013
28.7%
SY2014
20.5%
SY2015
23.4%
SY2016
13.2%
SY2017
19.1%
SY2018
15.3%
SY2019
17.7%
SY2020
23%
SY2021
18.2%
SY2022
19.7%
SY2023
19.1%
SY2024
18.6%
SY2025
23.8%
SY2026
27.7%
DESE’s attrition rate for grade 8, every school year it publishes.
1 · The facts
27.7%
grade 8 leaving rate, SY2026
28.7%
the highest year, SY2013
13.2%
the lowest year, SY2016
122
in that grade 8, FY2025
3
the current run of rises
3
the longest earlier run
4.9 points
between the five eras’ averages
2 · What it shows
1
27.7% in SY2026 sits between the 13.2% low and the 28.7% high of the series.
2
The rise has run 3 years; an earlier run was also 3.
3
Split at each school reorganisation, the eras’ averages sit within 4.9 points of each other.
4
In a grade of 122 children, each child who leaves moves the rate almost a point.
Grade 8 leaving rate by year
Year
Rate
Grade 8 the year before
Implied childrennot from the books
SY2026
27.7%
122
33.8
SY2025
23.8%
132
31.4
SY2024
18.6%
129
24.0
SY2023
19.1%
142
27.1
SY2022
19.7%
120
23.6
SY2021
18.2%
141
25.7
SY2020
23.0%
126
29.0
SY2019
17.7%
147
26.0
SY2018
15.3%
123
18.8
SY2017
19.1%
115
22.0
SY2016
13.2%
127
16.8
SY2015
23.4%
144
33.7
SY2014
20.5%
122
25.0
SY2013
28.7%
124
35.6
SY2012
19.4%
128
24.8
SY2011
20.7%
135
27.9
SY2010
20.0%
134
26.8
DESE’s rate and DESE’s enrolment. The implied column multiplies them and is ours, not a headcount anybody published.